Human Development and Technological Progress in Türkiye: New Evidence from Multiple Structural Breaks

Posted on Salı Temmuz 21st, 2026Salı Temmuz 21st, 2026 by editor

Makale Bilgileri

Dergi:	Business and Economics Research Journal
Makalenin Başlığı:	Human Development and Technological Progress in Türkiye: New Evidence from Multiple Structural Breaks
Yazar(lar):	Faruk Mike, Oktay Kızılkaya, İbrahim Ethem Akyıldız
Cilt:	17
Sayı:	3
Yıl:	2026
Sayfa:	347-358
ISSN:	2619-9491
DOI Numarası:	10.20409/berj.2026.501

Öz

This study examines the long-run relationship between human development and technological progress in Türkiye over the period 1990–2023. Technological progress is proxied by patent counts, while human development, trade openness, and economic policy uncertainty are included as explanatory variables. To account for possible regime changes in the Turkish economy, the analysis employs advanced time-series techniques that allow for structural breaks. First, the Zivot–Andrews unit root test is used to determine the order of integration under endogenous breaks. Second, the Maki cointegration test is applied to investigate long-run relationships in the presence of multiple structural breaks. Finally, long-run coefficients are estimated by the fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS), the dynamic ordinary least square (DOLS), and the canonical cointegration regression (CCR) estimators. The findings reveal that human development has a positive and statistically significant effect on technological progress in Türkiye. Trade openness also supports patent production, whereas economic policy uncertainty weakens it. Overall, the results suggest that technological progress depends not only on economic incentives but also on broader human development conditions and macroeconomic stability.

Anahtar Kelimeler:

Human Development, Technological Progress, Time-series Analysis, Türkiye

JEL Sınıflandırması:

O15, O3, O33

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