{"id":6577,"date":"2026-07-21T16:21:14","date_gmt":"2026-07-21T13:21:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/?p=6577"},"modified":"2026-07-21T16:21:14","modified_gmt":"2026-07-21T13:21:14","slug":"determinants-of-turkiyes-liner-shipping-connectivity-index-uncertainty-trade-and-exchange-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/determinants-of-turkiyes-liner-shipping-connectivity-index-uncertainty-trade-and-exchange-rates","title":{"rendered":"Determinants of T\u00fcrkiye\u2019s Liner Shipping Connectivity Index: Uncertainty, Trade, and Exchange Rates"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Makale Bilgileri<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Dergi:<\/td>\nBusiness and Economics Research Journal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/td>\nDeterminants of T\u00fcrkiye\u2019s Liner Shipping Connectivity Index: Uncertainty, Trade, and Exchange Rates<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yazar(lar):<\/td>\nBar\u0131\u015f \u00dclker<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Cilt:<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Say\u0131:<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Y\u0131l:<\/td>\n2026<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sayfa:<\/td>\n359-376<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ISSN:<\/td>\n2619-9491<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DOI Numaras\u0131:<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00d6z<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
This study examines the impact of global uncertainty, foreign trade volume, and the real effective exchange rate on T\u00fcrkiye\u2019s Liner Shipping Connectivity Index. It applies a partially asymmetric NARDL model to quarterly data for 2010Q1-2025Q3 period. The results show that global uncertainty is positively associated with liner shipping connectivity in both the short and long run. Import volume emerges as the dominant long run determinant of connectivity, with import contractions exerting a stronger negative effect than the positive effect generated by expansions. Export expansion affects liner shipping connectivity only over longer horizons while real appreciation provides statistically weak evidence of a positive effect on connectivity. These findings indicate T\u00fcrkiye\u2019s maritime connectivity is shaped by asymmetric and horizon dependent mechanisms beyond trade volume alone. Overall, the results suggest that liner shipping rigidity, carrier adjustment behavior, import dependence, supply chain resilience and T\u00fcrkiye\u2019s strategic transit position are important factors in explaining maritime connectivity dynamics. They also suggest that policy priorities should include stable import related cargo flows, service continuity, port efficiency and readiness for route reconfiguration within changing global liner shipping networks.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Anahtar Kelimeler:<\/td>\nLiner Shipping Connectivity Index, Global Uncertainty, Trade Volume, Exchange Rates, Asymmetry<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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JEL S\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131rmas\u0131:<\/td>\nF14, C32, R41<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
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Makale Bilgileri Dergi: Business and Economics Research Journal Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131: Determinants of T\u00fcrkiye\u2019s Liner Shipping Connectivity Index: Uncertainty, Trade, and Exchange Rates Yazar(lar): Bar\u0131\u015f \u00dclker Cilt: 17 Say\u0131: 3 Y\u0131l: 2026 Sayfa: 359-376 ISSN: 2619-9491 DOI Numaras\u0131: \u00d6z This study examines the impact of global uncertainty, foreign trade volume, and the real effective exchange rate […]<\/p>\n

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