{"id":6273,"date":"2025-01-07T18:44:52","date_gmt":"2025-01-07T15:44:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/?p=6273"},"modified":"2025-01-30T02:38:38","modified_gmt":"2025-01-29T23:38:38","slug":"the-effect-of-global-food-and-oil-prices-on-inflation-empirical-evidence-from-turkiye","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/the-effect-of-global-food-and-oil-prices-on-inflation-empirical-evidence-from-turkiye","title":{"rendered":"K\u00fcresel G\u0131da ve Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Enflasyon \u00dczerindeki Etkisi: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den Ampirik Kan\u0131tlar"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Makale Bilgileri<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Dergi:<\/td>\nBusiness and Economics Research Journal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/td>\nK\u00fcresel G\u0131da ve Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Enflasyon \u00dczerindeki Etkisi: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den Ampirik Kan\u0131tlar<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yazar(lar):<\/td>\nHatice Bozkurt<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Cilt:<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Say\u0131:<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Y\u0131l:<\/td>\n2025<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sayfa:<\/td>\n21-41<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ISSN:<\/td>\n2619-9491<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DOI Numaras\u0131:<\/td>\n10.20409\/berj.2025.455<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00d6z<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Enflasyon makroekonomik istikrar\u0131 bozan en \u00f6nemli istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k g\u00f6stergelerinden biridir. Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde k\u00fcresel g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n, d\u00f6viz kurunun ($\/TL sat\u0131\u015f kuru) ve para arz\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon \u00fczerindeki etkileri incelenmi\u015ftir. 2010M01-2021M09 d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in ayl\u0131k veriler kullan\u0131larak kesirli frekansl\u0131 Fourier fonksiyonlu botstrap ARDL yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 ile de\u011fi\u015fkenler aras\u0131ndaki e\u015fb\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme ili\u015fkileri test edilmi\u015ftir. Bulgular; t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi, k\u00fcresel g\u0131da fiyat endeksi, petrol fiyatlar\u0131, d\u00f6viz kuru ve para arz\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fkenlerinin uzun d\u00f6nemli ili\u015fkiye sahip olduklar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir. Uzun d\u00f6nemde enflasyon \u00fczerinde en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc etkiye sahip olan de\u011fi\u015fkenin d\u00f6viz kuru oldu\u011fu tespit edilmi\u015ftir. K\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan dengeden sapmalar\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015f bu\u00e7uk ayda uzun d\u00f6nem dengesine d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ortaya konmu\u015ftur. Elde edilen bulgular hata d\u00fczeltme tabanl\u0131 Granger nedensellik test sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ile tutarl\u0131d\u0131r. Bu sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de enflasyonun temel belirleyicilerinin d\u00f6viz kuru ve para arz\u0131 oldu\u011fu, k\u00fcresel g\u0131da ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon \u00fczerinde nispeten d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck etkiye sahip oldu\u011fu belirlenmi\u015ftir.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Anahtar Kelimeler:<\/td>\nEnflasyon, K\u00fcresel G\u0131da Fiyatlar\u0131, Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131, D\u00f6viz Kuru, Kesirli Frekansl\u0131 Fourier Bootstrap ARDL Yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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JEL S\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131rmas\u0131:<\/td>\nE31, E37<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
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Makale Bilgileri Dergi: Business and Economics Research Journal Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131: K\u00fcresel G\u0131da ve Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Enflasyon \u00dczerindeki Etkisi: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den Ampirik Kan\u0131tlar Yazar(lar): Hatice Bozkurt Cilt: 16 Say\u0131: 1 Y\u0131l: 2025 Sayfa: 21-41 ISSN: 2619-9491 DOI Numaras\u0131: 10.20409\/berj.2025.455 \u00d6z Enflasyon makroekonomik istikrar\u0131 bozan en \u00f6nemli istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k g\u00f6stergelerinden biridir. Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde k\u00fcresel g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n, petrol […]<\/p>\n

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