{"id":5186,"date":"2020-10-20T23:30:05","date_gmt":"2020-10-20T20:30:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/?p=5186"},"modified":"2020-10-27T02:20:53","modified_gmt":"2020-10-26T23:20:53","slug":"analysis-of-the-relationship-between-household-and-real-sector-expectations-in-turkey","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/analysis-of-the-relationship-between-household-and-real-sector-expectations-in-turkey","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Hanehalk\u0131 ve Reel Sekt\u00f6r Beklentileri Aras\u0131ndaki \u0130li\u015fkinin Analizi"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Makale Bilgileri<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Dergi:<\/td>\nBusiness and Economics Research Journal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/td>\nT\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Hanehalk\u0131 ve Reel Sekt\u00f6r Beklentileri Aras\u0131ndaki \u0130li\u015fkinin Analizi<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yazar(lar):<\/td>\nNecmettin Alpay Ko\u00e7ak<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Cilt:<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Say\u0131:<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Y\u0131l:<\/td>\n2020<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sayfa:<\/td>\n989-1000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ISSN:<\/td>\n2619-9491<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DOI Numaras\u0131:<\/td>\n10.20409\/berj.2020.294<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00d6z<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Hanehalk\u0131 ve reel sekt\u00f6r beklentileri ile ekonomik g\u00f6stergeler aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fki literat\u00fcrde s\u0131k\u00e7a tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada ise hanehalk\u0131 beklentileri ile reel sekt\u00f6r beklentileri aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkinin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve boyutlar\u0131, T\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi (TGE) ve Reel Kesim G\u00fcven Endeksi\u2019nin (RKGE) alt endeksleri aras\u0131nda ara\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2007 Ocak-2020 Nisan d\u00f6neminin analiz edildi\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada literat\u00fcrden farkl\u0131 olarak, ili\u015fkinin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ortaya konulmas\u0131nda ve seviyesinin \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclmesinde, zamana ba\u011fl\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fen (dinamik) ko\u015fullu korelasyonlar\u0131 tahmin eden DCC-GARCH y\u00f6ntemi kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n literat\u00fcrden bir di\u011fer farkl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, endeksler aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerde USD\/TL kurunun ve COVID-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n etkilerini panel veri analizi ile \u00f6l\u00e7meye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131d\u0131r. Elde edilen bulgular, TGE ve RKGE alt endeksleri aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkinin genel anlamda var oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir. \u00d6zellikle hanehalk\u0131n\u0131n genel ekonomiye ve i\u015fsizli\u011fe ili\u015fkin beklentilerini g\u00f6steren TGE alt endeksleri ile reel kesimin ekonominin genel gidi\u015fat\u0131na ve sipari\u015f miktarlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentilerini g\u00f6steren RKGE alt endeksleri aras\u0131nda ili\u015fkinin istatistiksel olarak anlaml\u0131 oldu\u011fu tespit edilmi\u015ftir. Panel veri analizi bulgular\u0131, USD\/TL kurunun TGE ve RKGE alt endeksleri aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiyi ters y\u00f6nde etkiledi\u011fini, buna kar\u015f\u0131n COVID-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu ili\u015fkiyi etkilemedi\u011fini i\u015faret etmektedir.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Anahtar Kelimeler:<\/td>\nT\u00fcketici G\u00fcven Endeksi, Reel Kesim G\u00fcven Endeksi, Dinamik Ko\u015fullu Korelasyon, D\u00f6viz Kuru, COVID-19<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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JEL S\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131rmas\u0131:<\/td>\nC32, C53, E31, E37<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
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Makale Bilgileri Dergi: Business and Economics Research Journal Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de Hanehalk\u0131 ve Reel Sekt\u00f6r Beklentileri Aras\u0131ndaki \u0130li\u015fkinin Analizi Yazar(lar): Necmettin Alpay Ko\u00e7ak Cilt: 11 Say\u0131: 4 Y\u0131l: 2020 Sayfa: 989-1000 ISSN: 2619-9491 DOI Numaras\u0131: 10.20409\/berj.2020.294 \u00d6z Hanehalk\u0131 ve reel sekt\u00f6r beklentileri ile ekonomik g\u00f6stergeler aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fki literat\u00fcrde s\u0131k\u00e7a tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada ise hanehalk\u0131 beklentileri […]<\/p>\n

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