{"id":4070,"date":"2018-07-29T00:05:59","date_gmt":"2018-07-28T21:05:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/?p=4070"},"modified":"2018-07-30T21:18:57","modified_gmt":"2018-07-30T18:18:57","slug":"forecasting-sales-revenues-of-turkish-manufacturing-industry-by-grey-forecasting-and-markov-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/forecasting-sales-revenues-of-turkish-manufacturing-industry-by-grey-forecasting-and-markov-model","title":{"rendered":"Gri Tahmin ve Markov Modeli ile T\u00fcrk \u0130malat Sanayinin Sat\u0131\u015f Gelirinin \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Makale Bilgileri<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Dergi:<\/td>\nBusiness and Economics Research Journal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/td>\nGri Tahmin ve Markov Modeli ile T\u00fcrk \u0130malat Sanayinin Sat\u0131\u015f Gelirinin \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yazar(lar):<\/td>\n\u00a0Selahattin Kaynak, Mira\u00e7 Eren<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Cilt:<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Say\u0131:<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Y\u0131l:<\/td>\n2018<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sayfa:<\/td>\n531-542<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ISSN:<\/td>\n2619-9491<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DOI Numaras\u0131:<\/td>\n10.20409\/berj.2018.121<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00d6z<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
T\u00fcrk \u0130malat sanayi, serbest piyasa ekonomisinin benimsenmesiyle birlikte \u00f6nemi giderek artm\u0131\u015f; istihdam, \u00fcretim ve ihracat a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin itici g\u00fcc\u00fc haline gelmi\u015ftir. Sermaye sahipli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan T\u00fcrk imalat sanayinde; kamu, \u00f6zel ve yabanc\u0131 sermayeli t\u00fcr\u00fcnde farkl\u0131 stat\u00fcdeki firmalar faaliyet g\u00f6stermektedir. T\u00fcrk imalat sanayinde sermaye sahipli\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan farkl\u0131 stat\u00fcde faaliyet g\u00f6steren kamu, \u00f6zel ve yabanc\u0131 sermaye t\u00fcrlerinin sat\u0131\u015f gelirleri trendlerini Gri (Grey) ve Markov modeli ile tahmin etmek, bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n amac\u0131n\u0131 te\u015fkil etmektedir. Firmalar\u0131n toplam sat\u0131\u015f geliri tahmininde gri modeli, e\u011filimleri i\u00e7in de kuadratik programlama modeline dayal\u0131 yeni Markov yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6nerilmi\u015ftir. Bu modeller, firmalar\u0131n 2004-2014 d\u00f6nemine ait toplam sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rmek ve 2017-2022 d\u00f6neminin trendleri tahmin etmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ara\u015ft\u0131rma kapsam\u0131nda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin en b\u00fcy\u00fck 500 sanayi kurulu\u015fu aras\u0131nda yer alan ve ayn\u0131 zamanda imalat sanayinde faaliyet g\u00f6steren firmalar\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f gelirleri analiz edilmi\u015ftir. Analiz edilen veri seti 1993-2014 d\u00f6nemini kapsamaktad\u0131r. Yap\u0131lan analizler sonucunda, T\u00fcrk imalat sanayinde kamu sermayesinin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 giderek azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u00f6zel sermaye t\u00fcr\u00fcne y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyde ge\u00e7i\u015fin oldu\u011fu tespit edilmi\u015ftir.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Anahtar Kelimeler:<\/td>\n\u0130malat Sanayi, Markov Modeli, Kuadratik Programlama, Gri Model<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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JEL S\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131rmas\u0131:<\/td>\nD29, D41, E23<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
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Makale Bilgileri Dergi: Business and Economics Research Journal Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131: Gri Tahmin ve Markov Modeli ile T\u00fcrk \u0130malat Sanayinin Sat\u0131\u015f Gelirinin \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc Yazar(lar): \u00a0Selahattin Kaynak, Mira\u00e7 Eren Cilt: 9 Say\u0131: 3 Y\u0131l: 2018 Sayfa: 531-542 ISSN: 2619-9491 DOI Numaras\u0131: 10.20409\/berj.2018.121 \u00d6z T\u00fcrk \u0130malat sanayi, serbest piyasa ekonomisinin benimsenmesiyle birlikte \u00f6nemi giderek artm\u0131\u015f; istihdam, \u00fcretim ve […]<\/p>\n

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