{"id":3597,"date":"2017-04-19T02:57:38","date_gmt":"2017-04-18T23:57:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/?p=3597"},"modified":"2017-04-24T23:56:30","modified_gmt":"2017-04-24T20:56:30","slug":"determinants-of-the-external-debt-stock-in-turkey","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/determinants-of-the-external-debt-stock-in-turkey","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de D\u0131\u015f Bor\u00e7 Stokunun Belirleyicileri"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Makale Bilgileri<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Dergi:<\/td>\nBusiness and Economics Research Journal<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/td>\nT\u00fcrkiye\u2019de D\u0131\u015f Bor\u00e7 Stokunun Belirleyicileri<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Yazar(lar):<\/td>\nUmut Akdu\u011fan<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Cilt:<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Say\u0131:<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Y\u0131l:<\/td>\n2017<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sayfa:<\/td>\n183-202<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ISSN:<\/td>\n1309-2448<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DOI Numaras\u0131:<\/td>\n10.20409\/berj.2017.44<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00d6z<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00c7al\u0131\u015fmada T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 stokunun belirleyicileri orijinal g\u00fcnah\u0131 etkileyen fakt\u00f6rler dikkate al\u0131narak a\u00e7\u0131klanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 1970-2015 d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin y\u0131ll\u0131k zaman serisi verileri kullan\u0131larak, e\u015fb\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131yla uzun d\u00f6nem ili\u015fkileri belirlenmi\u015f ve ECM ile k\u0131sa d\u00f6nem dinamikleri incelenmi\u015ftir. ARDL s\u0131n\u0131r testi sonucuna g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fkenler aras\u0131nda e\u015fb\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme ili\u015fkileri tespit edilmi\u015ftir. Bu do\u011frultuda ARDL modeli uzun d\u00f6nem tahmin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u015fu \u015fekildedir: i) Enflasyon oran\u0131, d\u00f6viz kuru rejimi ve para arz\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 stoku \u00fczerindeki etkisi istatistiksel olarak anlaml\u0131 ve negatiftir. ii) Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na GSY\u0130H, bor\u00e7 servisi, b\u00fct\u00e7e dengesi, yurti\u00e7i krediler ile d\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fkenlerinin d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 stoku \u00fczerindeki etkisi istatistiksel olarak anlaml\u0131 ve pozitiftir. iii) Bu de\u011fi\u015fkenler aras\u0131nda ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na GSY\u0130H ve d\u00f6viz kuru rejimi etkisinin d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 \u00fczerinde di\u011fer de\u011fi\u015fkenlere g\u00f6re daha fazla etkili oldu\u011fu tespit edilmi\u015ftir. Di\u011fer taraftan ECM tahmin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, k\u0131sa d\u00f6nemde ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan dengesizliklerin uzun d\u00f6nemde ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131labilece\u011fini ve de\u011fi\u015fkenlerin kendi \u00f6z de\u011ferlerine yak\u0131nsayabilece\u011fini ortaya koymaktad\u0131r.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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Anahtar Kelimeler:<\/td>\nD\u0131\u015f Bor\u00e7, Orijinal G\u00fcnah, E\u015fb\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme, ARDL, Hata D\u00fczeltme Modeli<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
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JEL S\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131rmas\u0131:<\/td>\nC22, F34, H63<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
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Makale Bilgileri Dergi: Business and Economics Research Journal Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de D\u0131\u015f Bor\u00e7 Stokunun Belirleyicileri Yazar(lar): Umut Akdu\u011fan Cilt: 8 Say\u0131: 2 Y\u0131l: 2017 Sayfa: 183-202 ISSN: 1309-2448 DOI Numaras\u0131: 10.20409\/berj.2017.44 \u00d6z \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmada T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 stokunun belirleyicileri orijinal g\u00fcnah\u0131 etkileyen fakt\u00f6rler dikkate al\u0131narak a\u00e7\u0131klanmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 1970-2015 d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin y\u0131ll\u0131k zaman serisi verileri kullan\u0131larak, e\u015fb\u00fct\u00fcnle\u015fme […]<\/p>\n

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