{"id":2721,"date":"2014-04-21T21:25:11","date_gmt":"2014-04-21T18:25:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/?p=2721"},"modified":"2014-04-21T21:25:11","modified_gmt":"2014-04-21T18:25:11","slug":"turkiyede-tuketim-harcamalari-krediler-ve-tuketici-guveni-arasindaki-iliskilerin-analizi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/turkiyede-tuketim-harcamalari-krediler-ve-tuketici-guveni-arasindaki-iliskilerin-analizi","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131, Krediler ve T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni Aras\u0131ndaki \u0130li\u015fkilerin Analizi"},"content":{"rendered":"<table width=\"534\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"7\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"544\" \/><\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-width: 1px medium; border-style: solid none; border-color: #0188a6 currentColor; padding: 0cm;\" valign=\"TOP\" bgcolor=\"#0188a6\" width=\"544\" height=\"15\">\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.21cm;\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Makale Bilgileri<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-width: 1px medium; border-style: solid none; border-color: #0188a6 currentColor; padding: 0cm;\" valign=\"TOP\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\" height=\"169\">\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.11cm; margin-bottom: 0.11cm;\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Dergi:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">\u0130\u015fletme ve Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Dergisi<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.11cm; margin-bottom: 0.11cm;\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"> T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131, Krediler ve T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni Aras\u0131ndaki \u0130li\u015fkilerin Analizi<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><span lang=\"en-US\"><b>Yazar(lar):<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><span lang=\"en-US\"> \u0130brahim Ar\u0131soy, Cengiz Aytun<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.11cm; margin-bottom: 0.11cm;\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Cilt:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">5<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.11cm; margin-bottom: 0.11cm;\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Say\u0131:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">2<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.11cm; margin-bottom: 0.11cm;\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Y\u0131l:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">2014<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.11cm; margin-bottom: 0.11cm;\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Sayfa:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"> 33-45<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.11cm;\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>ISSN:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">1309-2448<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-width: 1px medium; border-style: solid none; border-color: #0188a6 currentColor; padding: 0cm;\" bgcolor=\"#0188a6\" width=\"544\" height=\"16\">\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.11cm;\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>\u00d6zet<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-width: 1px medium; border-style: solid none; border-color: #0188a6 currentColor; padding: 0cm;\" valign=\"TOP\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\">\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.11cm;\" align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><span lang=\"en-US\">Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, 2005:1-2012:8 d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin ayl\u0131k verilerle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131, faiz oran\u0131 ve t\u00fcketim kredileri aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiyi Toda-Yamamoto (1992) testine dayal\u0131 Granger nedensellik ve regresyon analizleriyle ampirik olarak incelemektedir. Nedensellik s\u0131namalar\u0131 t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, faiz oran\u0131 ve t\u00fcketim kredilerinin t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada ve \u00f6ng\u00f6rmede \u00f6nemli bir rol oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir. Regresyon analizi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 ise t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, t\u00fcketim kredileri ve t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 aras\u0131nda istatistiksel olarak pozitif y\u00f6nl\u00fc anlaml\u0131 bir ili\u015fki oldu\u011funu ortaya koymaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-width: 1px medium; border-style: solid none; border-color: #0188a6 currentColor; padding: 0cm;\" valign=\"TOP\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\" height=\"22\">\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.11cm;\" align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><span lang=\"en-US\"><b>Anahtar Kelimeler:<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><span lang=\"en-US\"> T\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131, t\u00fcketim kredileri, Granger nedensellik.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border-width: 1px medium; border-style: solid none; border-color: #0188a6 currentColor; padding: 0cm;\" valign=\"TOP\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\">\n<p class=\"western\" style=\"margin-top: 0.11cm;\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><span lang=\"en-US\"><b>JEL S\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131rmas\u0131:<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><span lang=\"en-US\"> C23, C32, D12, E17<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><table style=\"border: 0px solid #CCC;\" cellpadding=\"3\" width=\"100%\">\r\n  <tr>\r\n    <td width=\"35\">\r\n      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/icons\/pdf.gif\" alt=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/icons\/pdf.gif\" width=20 height=18>\r\n    <\/td>\r\n    <td>\r\n      <b> \r\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/?file_id=220\">Tam Metin\r\n<\/b> ( <span style=\"font-weight:bolder;\">\u2193<\/span> 3548)<\/a>    <\/td>\r\n  <\/tr>\r\n<\/table><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_2721\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"2721\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Makale Bilgileri Dergi:\u0130\u015fletme ve Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Dergisi Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de T\u00fcketim Harcamalar\u0131, Krediler ve T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni Aras\u0131ndaki \u0130li\u015fkilerin Analizi Yazar(lar): \u0130brahim Ar\u0131soy, Cengiz Aytun Cilt:5 Say\u0131:2 Y\u0131l:2014 Sayfa: 33-45 ISSN:1309-2448 \u00d6zet Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, 2005:1-2012:8 d\u00f6nemine ili\u015fkin ayl\u0131k verilerle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de t\u00fcketici g\u00fcven endeksi, t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131, faiz oran\u0131 ve t\u00fcketim kredileri aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiyi Toda-Yamamoto (1992) testine dayal\u0131 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_2721\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"2721\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 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