{"id":2298,"date":"2013-04-22T22:13:47","date_gmt":"2013-04-22T19:13:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/?p=2298"},"modified":"2013-04-22T22:13:47","modified_gmt":"2013-04-22T19:13:47","slug":"asymmetric-behavior-of-unemployment-analysis-with-regime-switching-models-in-turkey","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/asymmetric-behavior-of-unemployment-analysis-with-regime-switching-models-in-turkey","title":{"rendered":"Asymmetric Behavior of Unemployment Analysis with Regime Switching Models in Turkey"},"content":{"rendered":"<table width=\"534\" border=\"1\" frame=\"HSIDES\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"7\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"544\" \/> <\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"TOP\" bgcolor=\"#0188a6\" width=\"544\" height=\"15\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Article Information<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"TOP\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\" height=\"16\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Journal:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">Business and Economics Research Journal<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Title of Article:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">Asymmetric Behavior of Unemployment Analysis with Regime Switching Models in Turkey<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Author(s):<\/b><\/span><\/span><span> Tayfur Bayat, Selim Kayhan, Ali Kocyigit<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Volume:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span> 4<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Number:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span> 2<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Year:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span> 2013<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Page:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span>79-90<br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>ISSN:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span>1309-2448<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td bgcolor=\"#0188a6\" width=\"544\" height=\"16\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Abstract <\/b><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"TOP\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\" height=\"16\">\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">In this study, asymmetric behavior of unemployment rate is investigated between years 1923 and 2011. In this regard, we employ linear unit root tests and Markov Switching model. According to unit root test results, unemployment rate data is not stationary in level, while the first difference of data is stationary. Markov switching analysis results indicate that the unemployment rate behaves asymmetrically between years 1923 and 1950, continuously. In the light of these results, it is understood that the structure of unemployment rate is nonlinear and it moves between two regimes. Another important result is that there are rigidities in unemployment rate after 50\u2019s. The unemployment rate does not decrease below percentage 7 since 1974, except 1996, 1998 and 2000. In a manner of speaking, after it shifted to contraction regime, the unemployment rate keeps in this regime. In this concept, unemployment rate represents a downward rigidity between years 1950 and 2011.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"TOP\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\" height=\"16\">\n<p align=\"JUSTIFY\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>Keywords:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">Unemployment rate, Unit root tests, BDS test, Nonlinearity, Markov switching model.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"TOP\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\" height=\"15\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>JEL Classification<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><b>:<\/b><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">C32, E24, J64<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><table style=\"border: 0px solid #CCC;\" cellpadding=\"3\" width=\"100%\">\r\n  <tr>\r\n    <td width=\"35\">\r\n      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/icons\/pdf.gif\" alt=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/icons\/pdf.gif\" width=20 height=18>\r\n    <\/td>\r\n    <td>\r\n      <b> \r\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/?file_id=176\">Tam Metin\r\n<\/b> ( <span style=\"font-weight:bolder;\">\u2193<\/span> 3064)<\/a>    <\/td>\r\n  <\/tr>\r\n<\/table><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_2298\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"2298\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Article Information Journal:Business and Economics Research Journal Title of Article:Asymmetric Behavior of Unemployment Analysis with Regime Switching Models in Turkey Author(s): Tayfur Bayat, Selim Kayhan, Ali Kocyigit Volume: 4 Number: 2 Year: 2013 Page:79-90 ISSN:1309-2448 Abstract In this study, asymmetric behavior of unemployment rate is investigated between years 1923 and 2011. In this regard, we [&hellip;]<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_2298\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"2298\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2298","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-manuscript","category-manuscript2"],"a3_pvc":{"activated":true,"total_views":80,"today_views":0},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2298","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2298"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2298\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2298"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2298"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2298"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}