{"id":2296,"date":"2013-04-22T22:12:06","date_gmt":"2013-04-22T19:12:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/?p=2296"},"modified":"2013-04-22T22:12:06","modified_gmt":"2013-04-22T19:12:06","slug":"turkiyede-issizligin-asimetrik-davranisinin-rejim-degisim-modeliyle-incelenmesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/turkiyede-issizligin-asimetrik-davranisinin-rejim-degisim-modeliyle-incelenmesi","title":{"rendered":"T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u0130\u015fsizli\u011fin Asimetrik Davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n Rejim De\u011fi\u015fim Modeliyle \u0130ncelenmesi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Makale Bilgileri<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Dergi:<\/b><\/span><\/span>\u0130\u015fletme ve Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Dergisi
\nMakalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/b><\/span><\/span> T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u0130\u015fsizli\u011fin Asimetrik Davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n Rejim De\u011fi\u015fim Modeliyle \u0130ncelenmesi
\nYazar(lar):<\/b><\/span><\/span> Tayfur Bayat, Selim Kayhan, Ali Ko\u00e7yi\u011fit
\nCilt:<\/b><\/span><\/span>4
\nSay\u0131:<\/b><\/span><\/span>2
\nY\u0131l:<\/b><\/span><\/span>2013
\nSayfa:<\/b><\/span><\/span> 79-90
\nISSN:<\/b><\/span><\/span>1309-2448<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00d6zet<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n

Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 1923-2011 d\u00f6neminde i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n asimetrik davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 incelenmi\u015ftir. Bu ama\u00e7la do\u011frusal birim k\u00f6k testleri ile Markov rejim de\u011fi\u015fim modeli uygulanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Birim k\u00f6k testleri sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 serisi d\u00fczey de\u011ferinde dura\u011fan olmamakla beraber birinci fark\u0131nda dura\u011fand\u0131r. Markov rejim de\u011fi\u015fim modelinin uygulanmas\u0131 sonucunda, i\u015fsizli\u011fin 1923\u20131950 d\u00f6neminde s\u00fcrekli asimetrik davran\u0131\u015f sergiledi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu sonu\u00e7 \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n bu d\u00f6nemde do\u011frusal olmayan bir yap\u0131ya sahip oldu\u011fu ve iki rejim aras\u0131nda ge\u00e7i\u015fler g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi sonucuna ula\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Analizler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 1950\u2019li y\u0131llardan sonra ise i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131nda kat\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n olu\u015ftu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n geli\u015fimine bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda \u00e7\u0131karabilece\u011fimiz di\u011fer bir \u00f6nemli sonu\u00e7 da, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n ilk defa %7\u2019yi a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 1974\u2019ten sonra, aradaki 1996, 1998 ve 2000 istisna y\u0131llar\u0131 hari\u00e7, 2012\u2019ye kadar hi\u00e7bir y\u0131lda bu seviyenin alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmemi\u015f olmas\u0131d\u0131r. Bir anlamda i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru kat\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stermi\u015f, yani i\u015fsizlik rejim de\u011fi\u015ftirerek bu seviyenin \u00fcst\u00fcnde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir karakter kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Anahtar Kelimeler:<\/b><\/span><\/span> \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131, Birim k\u00f6k testleri, BDS Testi, Do\u011frusal Olmama, Markov rejim de\u011fi\u015fim modeli.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

JEL S\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131rmas\u0131:<\/b><\/span><\/span> C32, E24, J64<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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\r\n \"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/icons\/pdf.gif\"\r\n <\/td>\r\n \r\n \r\nTam Metin\r\n<\/b> ( \u2193<\/span> 3064)<\/a> <\/td>\r\n <\/tr>\r\n<\/table><\/p>\n
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Makale Bilgileri Dergi:\u0130\u015fletme ve Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Dergisi Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u0130\u015fsizli\u011fin Asimetrik Davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n Rejim De\u011fi\u015fim Modeliyle \u0130ncelenmesi Yazar(lar): Tayfur Bayat, Selim Kayhan, Ali Ko\u00e7yi\u011fit Cilt:4 Say\u0131:2 Y\u0131l:2013 Sayfa: 79-90 ISSN:1309-2448 \u00d6zet Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 1923-2011 d\u00f6neminde i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n asimetrik davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 incelenmi\u015ftir. Bu ama\u00e7la do\u011frusal birim k\u00f6k testleri ile Markov rejim de\u011fi\u015fim modeli uygulanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Birim k\u00f6k […]<\/p>\n

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