{"id":2114,"date":"2012-10-19T23:37:28","date_gmt":"2012-10-19T20:37:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/?p=2114"},"modified":"2012-10-20T00:27:51","modified_gmt":"2012-10-19T21:27:51","slug":"seasonal-unit-root-an-application-to-turkish-industrial-production-series","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/seasonal-unit-root-an-application-to-turkish-industrial-production-series","title":{"rendered":"Seasonal Unit Root: An Application to Turkish Industrial Production Series"},"content":{"rendered":"<table width=\"534\" border=\"1\" frame=\"hsides\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"7\">\n<colgroup>\n<col width=\"544\" \/><\/colgroup>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#0188a6\" width=\"544\" height=\"15\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>Article Information<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>Journal:<\/strong><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">Business and Economics Research Journal<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>Title of Article:<\/strong><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">Seasonal Unit Root: An Application to Turkish Industrial Production Series<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>Author(s):<\/strong><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">Sinem Pinar G\u00fcrel, Murad Tiryakioglu<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>Volume:<\/strong><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">3<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>Number:<\/strong><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">4<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>Year:<\/strong><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">2012<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>Page:<\/strong><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">77-89<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>ISSN:<\/strong><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">1309-2448<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td bgcolor=\"#0188a6\" width=\"544\" height=\"16\"><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>Abstract <\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\">\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">The aim of this study is to investigate the seasonal patterns of five Turkish manufacturing industry series which have the main characteristics of Turkish economy during the1977:1-2008:4 periods. Many economic time series are often subject to systematic fluctuations within the year such as seasonal movements. All the studies concerning time series methods are useful only when the series do not show seasonal patterns or the methods that care of seasonal patterns used. For this reason, it is important to investigate the seasonal patterns of the series when working with economic time series data. The analysis is conducted using the HEGY approach developed by Hylleberg, Engle, Granger and Yoo (1990). It is important to determine what kind of seasonality is present in the data. For this reason, we search for the seasonal unit root with five different models that concern, trends, constant and seasonal dummies. We provide evidence on the presence of seasonal unit roots in the Turkish manufacturing industry series. The main finding is that there are both deterministic and non-stationary stochastic seasonality in the series.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\">\n<p align=\"justify\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>Keywords:<\/strong><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #111111;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">Seasonality, Seasonal Unit Root, HEGY Test Approach, Turkish Industrial Production Series<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\" bgcolor=\"#ffffff\" width=\"544\"><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>JEL Classification<\/strong><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #0188a6;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\"><strong>:<\/strong><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-family: Arial, serif;\">C01, L60<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><table style=\"border: 0px solid #CCC;\" cellpadding=\"3\" width=\"100%\">\r\n  <tr>\r\n    <td width=\"35\">\r\n      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/icons\/pdf.gif\" alt=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/icons\/pdf.gif\" width=20 height=18>\r\n    <\/td>\r\n    <td>\r\n      <b> \r\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/?file_id=152\">Tam Metin\r\n<\/b> ( <span style=\"font-weight:bolder;\">\u2193<\/span> 2915)<\/a>    <\/td>\r\n  <\/tr>\r\n<\/table><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_2114\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"2114\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Article Information Journal:Business and Economics Research Journal Title of Article:Seasonal Unit Root: An Application to Turkish Industrial Production Series Author(s):Sinem Pinar G\u00fcrel, Murad Tiryakioglu Volume:3 Number:4 Year:2012 Page:77-89 ISSN:1309-2448 Abstract The aim of this study is to investigate the seasonal patterns of five Turkish manufacturing industry series which have the main characteristics of Turkish economy [&hellip;]<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_2114\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"2114\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 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