{"id":1809,"date":"2012-01-20T13:05:04","date_gmt":"2012-01-20T18:05:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/?p=1809"},"modified":"2012-01-20T13:09:03","modified_gmt":"2012-01-20T18:09:03","slug":"doviz-kuru-tahmininde-parasal-model-ve-yapay-sinir-aglari-karsilastirmasi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.berjournal.com\/tr\/doviz-kuru-tahmininde-parasal-model-ve-yapay-sinir-aglari-karsilastirmasi","title":{"rendered":"D\u00f6viz Kuru Tahmininde Parasal Model ve Yapay Sinir A\u011flar\u0131 Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Makale Bilgileri<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\nDergi:<\/strong><\/span><\/span> \u0130\u015fletme ve Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Dergisi
\n<\/span>Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131:<\/strong><\/span><\/span> D\u00f6viz Kuru Tahmininde Parasal Model ve Yapay Sinir A\u011flar\u0131 Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131
\n<\/span>Yazar(lar):<\/strong><\/span><\/span> Filiz Ozkan
\n<\/span>Cilt:<\/strong><\/span><\/span> 3
\n<\/span>Say\u0131:<\/strong><\/span><\/span> 1
\n<\/span>Y\u0131l:<\/strong><\/span><\/span> 2012
\n<\/span>Sayfa:<\/strong><\/span><\/span> 27-39
\n<\/span>ISSN:<\/strong><\/span><\/span> 1309-2448
\n<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00d6zet<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n

D\u00f6viz kuru yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli karar mekanizmalar\u0131ndan bir tanesidir. D\u00f6viz kurunun k\u0131sa periyotlarla de\u011fi\u015fmesi ve oynak olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar riskleri azaltmak i\u00e7in etkili bir y\u00f6nteme ihtiya\u00e7 duymaktalar.<\/span>\u00a0Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada son y\u0131llarda tahmin problemlerinde etkili olarak kullan\u0131lan Yapay Sinir A\u011flar\u0131 ile yap\u0131sal d\u00f6viz kuru tahmin metotlar\u0131ndan bir tanesi olan Parasal Modelin tahmin performanslar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmada T\u00fcrkiye’ye ili\u015fkin Amerikan Dolar\u0131 ve Avro d\u00f6viz kuru tahminleri yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Modellerde yerli ve yabanc\u0131 \u00fclkeye ait enflasyon, para arz\u0131, faiz oran\u0131 ve milli gelir ekonomik verileri kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f, Amerikan Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in 1986-2010, Avro i\u00e7in ise 1999-2010 d\u00f6nemi ele al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda son zamanlarda tahmin problemlerinde s\u0131k\u00e7a kullan\u0131lmaya ba\u015flayan YSA’n\u0131n y\u00fcksek tahmin g\u00fcc\u00fcne ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Anahtar Kelimeler:<\/strong><\/span><\/span> D\u00f6viz kuru tahmini, Parasal model, Yapay sinir a\u011flar\u0131, Avro, Amerikan Dolar\u0131<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
JEL S\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131rmas\u0131:<\/strong><\/span><\/span> F31, C13, C45<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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Makale Bilgileri Dergi: \u0130\u015fletme ve Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Dergisi Makalenin Ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131: D\u00f6viz Kuru Tahmininde Parasal Model ve Yapay Sinir A\u011flar\u0131 Kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 Yazar(lar): Filiz Ozkan Cilt: 3 Say\u0131: 1 Y\u0131l: 2012 Sayfa: 27-39 ISSN: 1309-2448 \u00d6zet D\u00f6viz kuru yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli karar mekanizmalar\u0131ndan bir tanesidir. D\u00f6viz kurunun k\u0131sa periyotlarla de\u011fi\u015fmesi ve oynak olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar riskleri azaltmak […]<\/p>\n

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